How not to be wrong: the power of mathematical thinking

When am I going to use this?

Linearity

Inference

Expectation

Regression

Existence.

When am I going to use this?

Part I: Linearity:

Less like Sweden

Straight locally, curved globally

Everyone is obese

How much is that in dead Americans?

More pie than plate

Part 2: Inference:

Baltimore stockbroker and the Bible Code

Dead fish don't read minds

Reductio ad unlikely

International journal of haruspicy

Are you there, God? It's me, Bayesian inference

Part 3: Expectation:

What to expect when you're expecting to win the lottery

Miss more planes!

Where the train tracks meet

Part 4: Regression:

Triumph of mediocrity

Galton's ellipse

Does lung cancer make you smoke cigarettes?

Part 5: Existence:

There is no such thing as public opinion

Out of nothing I have created a strange new universe

How to be right

Acknowledgments

Notes

Index.